AxisOps Harbour
Labs

Topics

hardware

Time and position became contested inputs

Half the infrastructure in this notebook assumes it can ask the sky what time it is. Jamming and spoofing of satellite navigation are now routine over large parts of Europe and the Middle East, which turns a free, assumed-correct input into something an adversary writes. The engineering response is holdover, and almost nobody has specified it.

The model fits; the memory bus decides

Quantised models running on a workstation, a Pi or a phone. The interesting constraint is memory bandwidth rather than FLOPS, which changes which hardware is worth your money, and a capable model on a machine you own means no prompt ever leaves the building.

A control list is a system requirement

Since October 2022 the specification of an accelerator you are permitted to buy has been written partly in Washington, in units of processing power and interconnect bandwidth. Export control used to be a legal department's problem. It is now a line in the architecture, and it is the first time in this notebook's span that a chip's spec sheet has been set by policy.

Heterogeneous is the default now

Performance and efficiency cores, unified memory, accelerators on-package. The uniform-core model that every piece of scheduling and benchmarking folklore assumes has stopped being true, and the machine that replaces it does more per watt than anything symmetric ever will.

The expensive part stopped being the munition

A first-person-view quadcopter with a warhead taped to it costs a few hundred pounds and destroys a vehicle worth several million. The airframe is a toy, the radio is a toy, and the only component that was ever hard is now a model that fits on a board you can buy. That is a cost inversion, and cost inversions do not reverse.

An implant has no maintenance window

A pacemaker, a cochlear implant and an insulin pump are embedded computers with firmware, update paths and signing keys. Every assumption this trade makes about patching, rollback and end-of-life was written for machines you can switch off, and none of them survives contact with a device that is inside somebody.

ARM reaches the server room

The architecture monoculture is ending, and that sits upstream of almost everything interesting in systems work. The hard part was never the instruction set; it is fifteen years of software that has only ever been built on one.

The protein problem became a data problem

A neural network won CASP13 outright, and a sequencer that runs off a laptop's USB port costs less than a server. Biology is becoming a field where the expensive instrument is a model and the cheap instrument fits in a coat pocket, which changes who is able to do the work and who ends up holding the data.